Worldcoin's native token WLD extended its recovery on August 10, climbing roughly 8% over 24 hours to trade near $0.338. The move adds to a weekly gain of about 3%, reversing earlier losses as renewed institutional interest and a potential exchange-traded fund (ETF) filing provide fresh catalysts.

Data from CoinGecko shows WLD touched an intraday high of approximately $0.34 during Asian trading hours, after starting its latest advance from around $0.305. The token spent much of the previous session consolidating between $0.31 and $0.325 before breaking higher. Despite the rebound, WLD remains down about 7.7% over the past two weeks and 16.2% over the last month, leaving the current rally well below its early-July levels.

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Institutional accumulation and ETF filing

One of the primary drivers behind the recovery is continued accumulation by Eightco Holdings, a Nasdaq-listed company. In an August 6 update, Eightco disclosed it held nearly 302 million WLD as of August 5, part of approximately $378 million in total assets. That figure represents an increase of roughly 19 million tokens from the 283 million WLD it reported in April, indicating a steady buildup rather than a new treasury strategy. The disclosure came three days before WLD's latest surge, keeping the size of its position in focus.

Another factor is Grayscale's attempt to launch a US-listed investment product tied directly to WLD. In July, Grayscale filed an S-1 registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for the Grayscale Worldcoin ETF. The proposed fund would trade on Nasdaq under the ticker GWLD, with BitGo Bank & Trust serving as custodian and The Bank of New York Mellon as administrator and transfer agent. If approved, the ETF would offer regulated exposure to WLD without requiring investors to hold the underlying token. The filing remains an ongoing catalyst, as the SEC has not yet given its approval.

Network developments and supply dynamics

Beyond institutional moves, World Network's product roadmap has provided fundamental support. On July 24, the project announced it had entered "Phase 3" of its Simple Plan, extending World ID across consumer applications, enterprise services, and AI agent systems. Use cases include verified Zoom meetings and Tinder matches between verified humans, with integrations involving companies like Okta and Vercel. The project also said a new World ID application is in preparation, with another product development planned for the fall.

Token supply conditions have also shifted. World Network said the aggregate WLD unlock rate automatically fell 43% on July 24, cutting daily unlocks from approximately 5.1 million to 2.9 million WLD. Community unlocks were reduced from 3.2 million to 1.6 million per day, while team and investor allocations dropped 32%, from about 1.9 million to 1.3 million tokens daily. This reduced supply pressure could support price stability.

Technical outlook: key levels to watch

On the 4-hour chart, WLD broke above its 20-period and 50-period exponential moving averages (EMAs) at approximately $0.3148 and $0.3147, and also cleared the 100-period EMA near $0.3255. This marks the first time during the recovery that price sits above all three shorter-term moving averages. The 200-period EMA around $0.3515 now acts as the next dynamic resistance. Volume expanded alongside the breakout, adding confirmation, but WLD must hold above the former resistance at $0.325 to maintain the bullish structure.

The volume profile shows a large concentration of historical trading activity around $0.305-$0.315, which serves as a key support zone if the rally stalls. Above current levels, the profile thins until the next major resistance cluster at $0.38-$0.385, an area that saw heavy selling in late July. A sustained break above the 200-period EMA could expose that region, representing a potential gain of roughly 13% from current prices.

On the daily chart, the picture is more demanding. WLD trades around $0.3385, while the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day simple moving averages sit at approximately $0.3838, $0.3836, and $0.3643, respectively. These levels form a dense resistance zone that would need to be overcome for a decisive trend reversal. Until then, the rally remains a short-term bounce within a broader downtrend.

Investors will likely watch whether institutional accumulation continues and whether the SEC approves the Grayscale ETF, as both could provide sustained demand. The reduced unlock rate also adds a supportive supply backdrop. However, the token faces significant overhead resistance, and a failure to hold above $0.325 could invite a retest of the $0.305-$0.315 support zone.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.