The Japanese yen tumbled to its weakest point against the US dollar in almost 40 years on Tuesday, as a resurgent greenback and cautious investor sentiment weighed on global currency markets. The USD/JPY pair briefly touched the 162.00 mark during Asian trading—its highest since 1986—before settling near 162.30 in European hours.

The yen's slide persisted despite repeated warnings from Japanese officials that they stand ready to intervene in foreign exchange markets. Domestic data offered little support: Japan's unemployment rate held steady at 2.5% in May, matching expectations but failing to stem the currency's decline.

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Currency Markets Mixed as US-Iran Tensions Keep Investors on Sidelines
Currency markets trade mixed as US-Iran conflict uncertainty keeps investors cautious. USD weakens on improved risk sentiment; euro and pound extend gains.

Dollar Strength Builds Ahead of Key Data

The US dollar index recovered toward 101.30 after dipping into negative territory on Monday, buoyed by safe-haven demand and anticipation of critical economic releases. Investors are now focused on the May JOLTS Job Openings report and the Conference Board's June Consumer Confidence survey, with the June Nonfarm Payrolls report due on Thursday.

The greenback's broad advance also pressured emerging-market currencies. The Indian rupee opened marginally weaker, with USD/INR edging up to 94.57 as the stronger dollar and caution ahead of US payrolls data supported demand for the greenback.

Geopolitical Uncertainty Dampens Risk Appetite

Conflicting reports about potential US-Iran talks added to market unease. President Donald Trump stated that Iran had requested a meeting following recent strikes, suggesting talks would occur in Qatar on Tuesday. However, Iran's Foreign Ministry denied plans to meet US negotiators, saying its delegation would travel to Doha solely to pursue the release of frozen funds. The contradictory accounts fueled uncertainty, prompting investors to avoid risk-sensitive assets.

For more on how geopolitical risks are shaping markets, see our analysis in Geopolitical Risk and Fed Minutes Keep Global Markets on Edge.

Euro and Pound Retreat After Strong Start

The euro gave back Monday's gains, slipping below the 1.1400 level during European trading. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde warned at the ECB Forum on Central Banking that future shocks could push inflation away from target, though she expressed confidence that Europe's resilience would allow rate hikes without financial stress.

The British pound also pulled back after rising nearly 0.5% on Monday to a weekly high above 1.3250. GBP/USD corrected to around 1.3230 as traders digested UK first-quarter GDP growth of 0.6% quarter-on-quarter, in line with preliminary estimates and expectations.

Australian Dollar Hits Three-Month Low

The Australian dollar remained under pressure, with AUD/USD falling below 0.6875 to its lowest level in three months. Minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia's June meeting showed policymakers remain prepared to raise interest rates further if needed to maintain price stability.

Meanwhile, precious metals have been moving in the opposite direction. Read about Silver Breaks $60 as Dollar Weakness Fuels Precious Metal Demand for context on how currency shifts affect commodities.

As the dollar strengthens and the yen weakens, investors are closely watching upcoming US labor data for clues on the Federal Reserve's next moves. The broader market mood remains cautious, with geopolitical tensions and diverging central bank policies keeping currency volatility elevated.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.